Wednesday 7 November 2012

2016

It's all over. Time to start preparing for the next one.

At least our elections up to now have only lasted a month, and the new PM's usually installed in Number 10 the morning after the elections. None of that waiting two months for an inauguration business for us. However, that may change. David Cameron announced that from now on we'd have fixed five year terms between general elections. So far we haven't seen any sign of us starting to enter the state of perpetual campaigning that the US seems to suffer from. But it's only a matter of time.

For the record, I'm predicting a narrow Obama victory, at least as far as the popular vote is concerned. Whether that converts to electoral college votes is another matter. I expect no change in the House or the Senate. In short, paralysis as normal.

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